Now published: South Australian election guide

Will the 2026 state election be one for the record books?

The most one-sided election result in South Australian history occurred in 1993, in the aftermath of the state bank collapse. That election saw the Arnold Labor government wiped out, reduced to 10 seats in the 47-member House of Assembly and 39 per cent of the two-party-preferred vote.

It's a low watermark for Labor in a state where it has an otherwise extraordinarily strong record of election wins, and the party would love to be able to shake the dubious honour of having suffered the state's worst ever election defeat. In 2026 it may get that chance.

Opinion polls suggest Labor may soon be on the winning side of a record-setting election, while the Liberal Party braces for a potentially catastrophic loss. The opposition has had three leaders in this term of parliament, with the most recent switch occurring less than one hundred days before the voting period begins. Ashton Hurn hasn't even had the chance to prosecute her case as Liberal leader at the dispatch box in question time.

My full guide to the South Australian has just been published on the ABC News website, and will be regularly updated until the election:

Election Preview
South Australia Election Preview 2026
Subscribe to my newsletter

No spam, no sharing to third party. Only you and me.

Member discussion